Category Archives: Elections

2012 Election Post-Mortem

So, first, I’ll get the obligatory crowing out of the way.  Barack Obama won re-election last night, and if the margin in Florida holds, I’ll have correctly predicted the outcome of every single state.  I’ll take some credit for this … Continue reading

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Final Prediction Series: inuyesta

Just over five months ago, when Wiesman and I published our initial predictions for the outcome of this election, the only thing we differed on was whether the President would win Florida.  Today, we still differ only on whether the … Continue reading

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Predicted Winner: Obama (and Some Nerds)

Below you will find my prediction for the 2012 Presidential Election. I should point out that, like Wiesman, my prediction is based almost entirely on the incredibly great work of Sam Wang at Princeton Election Consortium and Nate Silve at FiveThirtyEight. … Continue reading

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My final prediction for the 2012 Presidential Election

Well, here we are, one day to go. Way way back in May I posted my “official” prediction for the 2012 presidential election. I’d like to point out that this prediction was made before Nate Silver started posting his projections … Continue reading

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November jobs report, last in our series and a good one

Well, we’ve reached the end of this series that I started back in March. This was all inspired by a blog post by Nate Silver who suggested that the employment situation would be one of, if not the, most important … Continue reading

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For first time in my life, I won’t be voting on principle…

…alone. This occurred to me the other day when my wife and I were having one of those “kitchen table talks” about finances. I have always taken a kind of foolish pride in telling myself that I was casting my … Continue reading

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Conservative outrage viciously attacks satire

As I type this, satire is on the floor, curled up in the fetal position, begging reality to ease up just a little. I enjoy making fun of Republicans and conservatives; I really do. But recently some have gone so … Continue reading

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Romney inadvertently endorses affirmative action, sidesteps question of equal pay for women

Thanks to Wiesman, who kindly contributed today’s talking points, I’m going to talk about the whole “binders full of women” comment and what exactly is so infuriating about Governor Romney’s entire response. Now plenty of people have been critical of … Continue reading

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Bubbled Romney stumbles

Now, that’s what I’m talking about. I wrote after the Vice Presidential debate that it was the most entertaining debate I had ever watched, and I still think that is true, but last night would be a close second for … Continue reading

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Well, that didn’t suck at all

I’ve watched nearly all of the presidential and vice presidential debates since 1988. (At first I had written that I’ve seen them all, but I may have missed one or two.) Last night was, without a doubt, the most entertaining … Continue reading

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