As mentioned in my previous post, I wrote CrosstabsGrapher to help visualize some of the internal crosstabs that we often get from exit polls. Some of this data is pretty standard, but I think there are some interesting truths hidden in the data.
First of all, as each chart says, I got this data from this CNN page. Obviously CNN owns this data (or its pollster does) but I think I am within fair use guidelines in using it. I’ve modified the data slightly (combining their “Perry” and “Other or N/A” columns into a single column which I helpfully labeled “*”), changed the order of the columns to reflect the final vote totals, and I’ve added value to the data by presenting it in pretty chart form. If I’m wrong about this (and if SOPA passes) I guess this website will be disappeared!
On to the charts. Here is voting by age:
Voters 18-29 make up only 9% of the South Carolina GOP Primary voters. That sounds really low, but is probably not too out of line with Primary elections in the past. This is the group that Ron Paul won with 31% of the vote. I think this is the biggest danger for the GOP. They aren’t attracting young people, and the young people they DO attract are interested in a guy who isn’t going to win the nomination.
Here are the charts for gender, income, ideology, and education.
All pretty standard stuff, here. Here’s a chart for voting by opinion about the Tea Party.
Okay, can we stop with the fiction that Ron Paul is the father of what we now call the Tea Party? People who showed support for the Tea Party made up 64% of those polled, and among these, Ron Paul came in 4th place, with 12% of the vote. 45% of Tea Party supporters polled voted for Newt Gingrich.
I know that Ron Paul thinks that the Tea Party movement is a plus for him, but the data don’t (w00t! correct plural usage of data!) show that. Obviously… some disagree.