As I mentioned before, the only real GOP Primary race to watch now is the race to see if there will be a brokered convention (oh please oh please) or if Mitt Romney will be able to wrap this up before Tampa.
Yesterday, Rick Santorum seemed to have taken a large step towards making a brokered convention possible by absolutely crushing in the Kansas Republican Caucuses, winning with 51.2% of the vote. Romney came in 2nd with 20.9%. This was good enough to give Santorum 33 of Kansas’ 40 delegates, and Romney got the other 7.
However, Guam, the US Virgin Islands, and the Northern Marianas Islands also held contests yesterday and Romney won all of them, getting most of their delegates. That brings the total for the day to 33 for Santorum and 32 for Romney.
Updating the Delegate Counter from The New York Times we see this:
Romney still has over twice as many delegates as his next closest competitor in Santorum, and still has the majority of the assigned delegates so far, putting him ahead of Brokered Convention for the time being. Tuesday’s contests in Mississippi and Alabama could cut into that Romney lead with 38 and 49 delegates up for grabs.
However, currently Nate Silver projects Romney to win Mississippi and finishing 2nd in Alabama to Newt Gingrich, with Santorum projected at 3rd in each state. If that happens, then the brokered convention becomes tougher to imagine.